19% — Will GTA 6 be delayed?
Kalshi 19% · 16 contracts · $1K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 09:27:45 UTC

Contracts:
- Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Bad Bunny — 9¢ Kalshi $520 (weight 39%)
- Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Drake — 72¢ Kalshi $430 (weight 32%)
- Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Taylor Swift — 13¢ Kalshi $392 (weight 29%)
- Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Drake — 45¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Babydoll — 13¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Bruno Mars be the #1 most streamed Artist on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Bruno Mars — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will The Life of a Showgirl be the #2 most streamed Album on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: The Life of a Showgirl — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the  2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?: Drake — 42¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 8 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-08T09:20:09.132Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "19% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/gta6-delay
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20GTA%206%20be%20delayed%3F
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev