36% — Haras El Hodood SC vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC - More Markets
Polymarket 36% · 20 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:12:18 UTC

Why this matters:
This represents the estimated probability that Haras El Hodood SC will win their upcoming match against Tala'ea El Gaish SC. The current 26% assessment reflects a significant divergence between prediction markets: Kalshi prices the outcome at 57% while Polymarket contracts average 24%, suggesting substantial disagreement about Haras El Hodood's chances. The gap may reflect different user bases, contract structures, or liquidity levels across venues. Resolution will occur upon the match completion, with the outcome determined by official final score. Key drivers include relative team form, head-to-head history, and current league standings in the Egyptian football league. Without liquidity on Polymarket and minimal trading volume, the current aggregate probability carries limited conviction.

Key factors:
- 33-percentage-point spread between venues indicates material disagreement on win probability rather than consensus pricing
- Polymarket's 24¢ bid reflects stronger pricing depth (13 contracts) versus Kalshi's single contract at 57¢, affecting aggregate weighting
- Zero 24h volume on Polymarket's Haras El Hodood contract suggests minimal recent trading and potentially stale pricing
- Related market on Both Teams to Score (41¢) and Haras El Hodood -2.5 spread (10¢) provide secondary indicators of expected match dynamics
- Match outcome depends on official final score determination; no scheduled date or postponement factors are evident in available contract data

Contracts:
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-2.5) — 35¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 50¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Draw (Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) — 31¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 48¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC - More Markets: Ghazl El Mahalla SC (-1.5) — 33¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 35¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5) — 11¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 17¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "36% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-talaea-el-gaish-sc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Haras%20El%20Hodood%20SC%20vs.%20Tala'ea%20El%20Gaish%20SC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev