30% — Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets
Polymarket 31% · 20 contracts · $1K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 11:24:52 UTC

Why this matters:
This 31% probability reflects the market's assessment that Henan FC will achieve a specific outcome against Liaoning Tieren FC in an upcoming Chinese Super League match. The current level sits at the lower end of typical two-team matchup probabilities, suggesting either that Liaoning Tieren FC is favored or that the market assigns significant uncertainty to this particular contest. The probability would move based on team form leading into the match, injury reports, and recent head-to-head performance. Resolution depends on the scheduled match date and the specific outcome condition being traded. Low trading volume on related contracts ($8-390 24h) indicates limited market participation, which typically means wider bid-ask spreads and potentially less reliable pricing.

Key factors:
- Recent win-loss records and current league standings position for both Henan FC and Liaoning Tieren FC
- Confirmed team roster status, including availability of key players and reported injuries before match day
- Head-to-head historical results between these two clubs in the Chinese Super League
- Match venue and weather conditions on the scheduled contest date
- Trading volume and price movement across the 18 contracts on Polymarket in the 72 hours before kickoff

Contracts:
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Liaoning Tieren FC — 16¢ Polymarket $575 (weight 20%)
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) — 3¢ Polymarket $306 (weight 18%)
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC — 61¢ Polymarket $240 (weight 17%)
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 53¢ Polymarket $9 (weight 7%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 44¢ Polymarket $8 (weight 7%)
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC - More Markets: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5) — 34¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 2%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 72¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 2%)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 23¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 2%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "30% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/henan-fc-vs-liaoning-tieren-fc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Henan%20FC%20vs.%20Liaoning%20Tieren%20FC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev