34% — 80: Above 80
Kalshi 33% · 16 contracts · $853K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 19:24:07 UTC

Contracts:
- Bitcoin price  on May 3, 2026?: $78,250 or above — 94¢ Kalshi $129K (weight 7%)
- Bitcoin price  on May 3, 2026?: $78,500 or above — 83¢ Kalshi $106K (weight 7%)
- Bitcoin price  on May 3, 2026?: $78,750 or above — 39¢ Kalshi $84K (weight 7%)
- Bitcoin price  on May 3, 2026?: $79,000 or above — 13¢ Kalshi $76K (weight 7%)
- Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?: Before May 15, 2026 — 4¢ Kalshi $74K (weight 7%)
- Bitcoin price  on May 3, 2026?: $78,000 or above — 96¢ Kalshi $72K (weight 7%)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $4.460?: Above 4.460 — 28¢ Kalshi $53K (weight 6%)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $4.470?: Above 4.470 — 4¢ Kalshi $45K (weight 6%)
- ... and 8 more

Cite as: "34% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/hormuztrafficw
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=80%3A%20Above%2080
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev