71% — Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 71% · Polymarket 71% · 9 contracts · $20K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 08:16:54 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This 71% probability indicates that the market leader expects Independiente Medellín to win their match against CR Flamengo, though with meaningful uncertainty remaining. The probability reflects Flamengo's status as a established Brazilian club against a Colombian side, balanced against Medellín's home-field advantage and current form. The contract pricing diverges notably from the 49% runner-up position, suggesting significant disagreement about the likely outcome. Key factors driving this assessment include relative team strength in continental competition, recent performance metrics, and the specific match conditions. Resolution will occur when the match is played—the scheduled fixture date will determine whether Medellín secures victory or the outcome follows an alternative result.

Key factors:
- Flamengo's historical performance in Copa Libertadores and recent league standings versus Medellín's domestic form and home record
- Head-to-head historical results and goal differential in previous meetings between these clubs
- Injury status and squad availability for both teams leading up to match day
- Current league position and momentum of each club in their respective domestic competitions
- Venue factors and weather conditions that may favor one team's playing style

Contracts:
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 71¢ Polymarket $388 (weight 2%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 49¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 11%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 46¢ Polymarket $8K (weight 42%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: CR Flamengo (-1.5) — 26¢ Polymarket $805 (weight 4%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 24¢ Polymarket $6K (weight 30%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 11¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 8%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: CR Flamengo (-2.5) — 10¢ Polymarket $74 (weight 0%)
- Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets: Independiente Medellín (-1.5) — 7¢ Polymarket $388 (weight 2%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "71% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/independiente-medelln-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Independiente%20Medell%C3%ADn%20vs.%20CR%20Flamengo%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev