60% — Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 60% · Polymarket 60% · 8 contracts · $5K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:09 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 8 outcomes.

Why this matters:
SC Corinthians Paulista is priced to win by more than 2.5 goals with 65% probability in this fixture. The market implies Corinthians' advantage, though betting activity remains sparse across all related contracts with zero 24-hour volume. The current assessment reflects Corinthians' perceived strength relative to Santa Fe, but the low liquidity suggests limited confidence or market interest in the matchup. Resolution depends on the actual match outcome, expected to occur within the standard South American club fixture calendar. Key variables affecting the probability include each team's recent form, home-field status, squad availability, and head-to-head history.

Key factors:
- SC Corinthians Paulista priced at 65% to cover -2.5 spread indicates market expects at least 3-goal margin in their favor
- Draw contract trading at 30¢ and Both Teams to Score at 50¢ suggest alternative scenarios carry meaningful probability weight
- Zero 24-hour volume across all nine contracts indicates minimal recent trading activity and potentially stale pricing
- Santa Fe (-2.5) contract at 11¢ reflects very low probability of a 3+ goal Santa Fe victory
- The spread between Corinthians' -2.5 line (65%) and the close runner-up outcome (50%) shows moderate consensus rather than near-certain expectation

Contracts:
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 60¢ Polymarket $3K (weight 60%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 42¢ Polymarket $38 (weight 1%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 34¢ Polymarket $925 (weight 17%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 15¢ Polymarket $239 (weight 4%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) — 14¢ Polymarket $12 (weight 0%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) — 10¢ Polymarket $502 (weight 9%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 6¢ Polymarket $373 (weight 7%)
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) — 4¢ Polymarket $70 (weight 1%)

Cite as: "60% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-more
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Independiente%20Santa%20Fe%20vs.%20SC%20Corinthians%20Paulista%20-%20More%20Markets%3A%20SC%20Corinthians%20Paulista%20(-2.5)
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev