39% — Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC
Kalshi 39% · 10 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-25 19:09:50 UTC

Why this matters:
This 39% probability represents the likelihood that Inter Kashi FC will defeat North East United FC in their upcoming match. The probability reflects moderate confidence in a competitive fixture, likely influenced by recent team form, head-to-head history, and current league standings. The market shows relatively low trading volume across contracts, suggesting limited activity among traders pricing this event. The actual match result will provide definitive resolution, though the specific date isn't indicated in available data. Factors like injuries to key players, home-field advantage, and momentum from recent games typically drive expectations in soccer matches. The concentration of contracts around North Carolina election outcomes in the top volume list indicates potential market data misalignment or cross-listing issues unrelated to this soccer fixture.

Key factors:
- Recent performance records of both Inter Kashi FC and North East United FC in their current league season
- Head-to-head historical match results and goal differential between these two teams
- Current league standings and points differential that reflect relative team strength
- Availability of key players due to injury, suspension, or international competition
- Home versus away fixture designation and historical performance patterns for each team at their respective venues

Contracts:
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Republicans, 1+ pts — 10¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 9 percentage points?: Democrats, 9+ pts — 35¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 11 percentage points?: Democrats, 11+ pts — 30¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Republicans, 3+ pts — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Democrats, 13+ pts — 24¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year?: 5+ wins in a row — 23¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?: Democrats, 7+ pts — 44¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Democrats, 5+ pts — 60¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 10%)
- ... and 2 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-25T18:20:49.629Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "39% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/inter-kashi-fc-vs-north-east-united-fc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Inter%20Kashi%20FC%20vs.%20North%20East%20United%20FC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev