42% — Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC - More Markets Kalshi 42% · 10 contracts · $623 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-08-10 10:00:01 UTC Why this matters: The 41% probability indicates roughly even odds that Inter Kashi FC will defeat North East United FC in their upcoming match. This prediction is based on limited market activity through Kalshi contracts. The current level likely reflects uncertainty about team form, head-to-head records, and any recent roster changes or injuries affecting either squad. Home-field advantage, if applicable, and recent performance trends would be the primary factors pushing this probability up or down. The resolution will occur at match conclusion, when the final result becomes known. Market confidence remains modest given the low trading volume and limited number of active contracts informing this probability. Key factors: - Recent win-loss records and goal differential for both Inter Kashi FC and North East United FC over their last 5-10 matches - Head-to-head historical results between these two clubs, including home and away performance splits - Current injury status or roster availability of key players for either team - Home field advantage if applicable, including historical performance patterns at each team's stadium - Time of year and league standing context, which may indicate motivation level or player fatigue Contracts: - Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?: Democrats, 5+ pts — 69¢ Kalshi $600 (weight 96%) - Will Manchester United men's soccer win at least 5 games in a row this year?: 5+ wins in a row — 34¢ Kalshi $13 (weight 2%) - Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 13 percentage points?: Democrats, 13+ pts — 23¢ Kalshi $10 (weight 2%) - Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?: Republicans, 1+ pts — 9¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 9 percentage points?: Democrats, 9+ pts — 40¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 11 percentage points?: Democrats, 11+ pts — 31¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?: Republicans, 3+ pts — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?: Democrats, 7+ pts — 50¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 2 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-08-10T07:20:51.837Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "42% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/inter-kashi-fc-vs-north-east-united-fc-more-markets Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Inter%20Kashi%20FC%20vs.%20North%20East%20United%20FC%20-%20More%20Markets Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev