46% — Will there be over 22.5 total match fours
Leader: Over 32.5 fours at 46% · Kalshi 46% · 4 contracts · $1K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:14 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 4 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will there be over 32.5 total match fours?: Over 32.5 fours — 46¢ Kalshi $636 (weight 64%)
- Will there be over 31.5 total match fours?: Over 31.5 fours — 46¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be over 30.5 total match fours?: Over 30.5 fours — 45¢ Kalshi $365 (weight 36%)
- Will there be over 18.5 total match fours?: Over 18.5 fours — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "46% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/iplfour
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20there%20be%20over%2022.5%20total%20match%20fours
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev