20% — Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...
Polymarket 23% · Kalshi 19% · 20 contracts · $583K volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 14:48:06 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 4pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : France — 16¢ Polymarket $120K (weight 9%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Spain — 15¢ Polymarket $109K (weight 9%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Netherlands — 3¢ Polymarket $91K (weight 9%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Germany — 5¢ Polymarket $88K (weight 9%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Portugal — 7¢ Polymarket $65K (weight 8%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : England — 11¢ Polymarket $35K (weight 8%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Argentina — 9¢ Polymarket $35K (weight 8%)
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Brazil — 9¢ Polymarket $33K (weight 8%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "20% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/iran-removed-from-fifa-world-cup
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Iran%20removed%20from%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20by...
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev