66% — Ismaily SC vs. Modern SC - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 66% · Polymarket 66% · 8 contracts · $53 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:13 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 8 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The market is pricing an Ismaily SC victory over Modern SC at 66%, suggesting a clear but not overwhelming favorite in what appears to be a single-match winner-take-all contest. This probability reflects bettors' assessment of relative team strength, form, and match conditions as of May 2026. The elevated favorite odds compared to a 50-50 baseline typically indicate one team has demonstrated superior recent performance, better head-to-head record, or home-field advantage. The resolution will depend on the actual match outcome, which would settle all eight linked contracts simultaneously. Key factors moving this probability would include team injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff, as well as recent performance trends in the lead-up to the fixture. The match itself serves as the single defining catalyst that resolves all uncertainty around this outcome.

Key factors:
- Current 66% price reflects relative strength assessment; a 45% runner-up price indicates meaningful disagreement exists rather than consensus
- Pre-match team news—injuries to key players, suspensions, or formation changes—would directly alter win probability for either side
- Recent head-to-head record and current league standing differential between Ismaily SC and Modern SC determine baseline expectations
- Home vs. away designation and venue conditions historically influence outcome distribution in Egyptian football fixtures
- Actual match result at scheduled kickoff is the sole resolution mechanism for all eight bound contracts, making timing and fixture confirmation critical

Contracts:
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 66¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 45¢ Polymarket $23 (weight 44%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 39¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: National Bank of Egypt Club (-1.5) — 23¢ Polymarket $10 (weight 18%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 17¢ Polymarket $20 (weight 38%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5) — 8¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 7¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Ismaily SC (-1.5) — 5¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "66% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ismaily-sc-vs-modern-sc-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Ismaily%20SC%20vs.%20Modern%20SC%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev