32% — ISM Manufacturing PMI in Apr 2026
Kalshi 15% · 17 contracts · $35K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 16:44:54 UTC

Contracts:
- Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026?: Above 60 — 6¢ Kalshi $11K (weight 16%)
- Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026?: Above 50 — 16¢ Kalshi $8K (weight 15%)
- CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?: Exactly 3.8% — 27¢ Kalshi $7K (weight 15%)
- Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Apr 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026?: Above 40 — 60¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 14%)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in April 2026?: Above 3.6% — 64¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 14%)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in April 2026?: Above 0.5% — 51¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 12%)
- Will US ISM services PMI for April 2026 be above 50.5?: Above 50.5 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 1%)
- Will US ISM services PMI for April 2026 be above 51.0?: Above 51.0 — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 1%)
- ... and 9 more

Cite as: "32% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/ismpmi
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=ISM%20Manufacturing%20PMI%20in%20Apr%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev