61% — Jordan vs. Algeria
Leader: Algeria at 61% · Polymarket 61% · 3 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:53:20 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Why this matters:
The 60% probability indicates market participants currently favor Algeria to win in a matchup against Jordan. This assessment reflects aggregate trading on multiple prediction contracts, where Algeria's contract trades significantly higher than alternatives. The probability is shaped by relative team strength assessments, recent performance records, and any available match-specific information. Movement would likely follow confirmed team lineups, injury announcements, or venue details. The resolution will occur when the match concludes and an official result is recorded, eliminating all remaining uncertainty around the outcome.

Key factors:
- Algeria's contract price (60¢) substantially exceeds Jordan's implied probability (27% based on runner-up positioning), suggesting market confidence in Algeria as the favored outcome
- Trading volume on the Jordan vs. Algeria contract is currently zero over 24 hours, indicating thin liquidity and potential for price movement if significant new information emerges
- The Argentina vs. Algeria contracts show active trading ($273 24h volume) with Argentina trading at 71¢, providing indirect signals about comparative strength assessments across different matchups
- Match-specific variables—team roster availability, recent form, head-to-head history, and scheduling details—remain the primary drivers of probability shifts
- Official match result is the sole resolution mechanism; any delay, postponement, or format change would extend uncertainty and potentially shift market prices

Contracts:
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria — 61¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Draw (Jordan vs. Algeria) — 27¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan — 14¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)

Cite as: "61% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/jordan-vs-algeria
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Jordan%20vs.%20Algeria
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev