67% — Labour leadership election scheduled by ...
Polymarket 67% · 1 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 20:42:31 UTC

Contracts:
- Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?: June 30 — 67¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 100%)

---

## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

---

*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:11.710Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "67% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/labour-leadership-election-scheduled
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Labour%20leadership%20election%20scheduled%20by%20...
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev