6% — How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during next The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell
Kalshi 6% · 1 contracts · $42 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-06-19 12:03:02 UTC

Contracts:
- How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell?: 100+ times — 6¢ Kalshi $42 (weight 100%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-10T13:20:11.613Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "6% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lastwordcount
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=How%20many%20times%20will%20Lawrence%20O'Donnell%20say%20Trump%20during%20next%20The%20Last%20Word%20With%20Lawrence%20O'Donnell
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev