40% — How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during next The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell
Polymarket 45% · Kalshi 37% · 19 contracts · $19K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 18:43:29 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 8pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 13 — 55¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 8%)
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 12 — 79¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 8%)
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 14 — 13¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 8%)
- How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Drake hold for the week of May 30, 2026?: Exactly 10 songs — 3¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 8%)
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 3 — 42¢ Polymarket $2K (weight 7%)
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 10 — 93¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 7%)
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?: 5 — 23¢ Polymarket $1K (weight 7%)
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 15 — 4¢ Kalshi $529 (weight 6%)
- ... and 11 more

Cite as: "40% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lastwordcount
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=How%20many%20times%20will%20Lawrence%20O'Donnell%20say%20Trump%20during%20next%20The%20Last%20Word%20With%20Lawrence%20O'Donnell
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev