16% — Will Rory Connor win Tewaaraton Award
Kalshi 16% · 5 contracts · $783 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:41 UTC

Why this matters:
This 22% probability reflects the market's assessment that Rory Connor will win the Tewaaraton Award, college lacrosse's highest individual honor. The relatively low odds suggest Connor faces significant competition from other elite players in the sport. The probability would likely shift based on his performance statistics through the spring season—goals, assists, ground balls, and defensive metrics—and how those compare to other top contenders. The award typically resolves in late May or early June, after the college lacrosse regular season concludes and the NCAA tournament completes, giving voters a full picture of player contributions throughout the year.

Key factors:
- Rory Connor's goal and point production rate compared to consensus top candidates for the award
- His defensive metrics and ground ball winning percentage relative to other elite attackmen and midfielders
- Team performance and tournament success, as voters often weight individual talent within context of team results
- Injury status or playing time availability through the remainder of the season
- Strength of schedule remaining and visibility in nationally televised games against ranked opponents

Contracts:
- Will Joey Spallina win Tewaaraton Award?: Joey Spallina — 54¢ Kalshi $386 (weight 49%)
- Will Shawn Lyght win Tewaaraton Award?: Shawn Lyght — 6¢ Kalshi $374 (weight 48%)
- Will Owen Duffy win Tewaaraton Award?: Owen Duffy — 4¢ Kalshi $24 (weight 3%)
- Will Willem Firth win Tewaaraton Award?: Willem Firth — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will McCabe Millon win Tewaaraton Award?: McCabe Millon — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/laxtewaaraton
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Rory%20Connor%20win%20Tewaaraton%20Award
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev