7% — Will José Ramírez lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season
Kalshi 7% · 13 contracts · $964 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:39 UTC

Why this matters:
This market reflects the 7% probability that José Ramírez will record the most stolen bases across all MLB players during the 2026 regular season. Ramírez is a talented infielder, but historically, stolen base leaders tend to come from players with both speed and high plate appearances—factors that vary significantly year to year. The probability is influenced by his past performance relative to other base-stealing threats in the league, injuries that could limit playing time, and how frequently his team employs aggressive base-running strategies. The resolution will depend on complete 2026 regular season statistics compiled by MLB, which typically conclude in early October. Changes to this probability would likely come from spring training performance reports or significant roster moves affecting elite speedsters.

Key factors:
- Ramírez's historical stolen base totals and rank among MLB leaders in recent seasons
- Availability and performance of other known base-stealing threats (Kyle Schwarber, Aaron Judge's teammates, etc.) throughout 2026
- Ramírez's plate appearance rate and at-bat volume, which directly correlates with steal opportunities
- Team offensive strategy and coaching decisions regarding aggressive baserunning in 2026
- Injury status entering and during the 2026 regular season, which would impact games played and steal opportunities

Contracts:
- Will Nasim Nuñez lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: Nasim Nuñez — 9¢ Kalshi $714 (weight 74%)
- Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: Bobby Witt Jr. — 4¢ Kalshi $250 (weight 26%)
- Will Elly De La Cruz lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: Elly De La Cruz — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Chandler Simpson lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: Chandler Simpson — 30¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Jakob Marsee lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: Jakob Marsee — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Pete Crow-Armstrong lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: Pete Crow-Armstrong — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will José Caballero lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: José Caballero — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will José Ramírez lead Pro Baseball in steals for the 2026 regular season?: José Ramírez — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 5 more

Cite as: "7% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/leadermlbsteals
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Jos%C3%A9%20Ram%C3%ADrez%20lead%20Pro%20Baseball%20in%20steals%20for%20the%202026%20regular%20season
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev