8% — Will Jonathan Taylor lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season Kalshi 8% · 9 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-09-22 00:23:58 UTC Why this matters: This contracts asks whether Jonathan Taylor will finish the 2026-2027 NFL regular season with more rushing yards than all other running backs. The 7% probability reflects that Taylor faces strong competition from younger, more recently productive rushers. The primary factors influencing this outcome are Taylor's health status and playing time allocation with his current team, alongside the performance trajectories of rival backs. The season's conclusion in early 2027 will definitively resolve the question through official NFL statistics. Market participants appear to view Taylor as a clear underdog relative to established 2026 season competitors like Bijan Robinson, whose contract trades at 13 cents. Key factors: - Jonathan Taylor's offensive snap count and carries per game through the 2026 regular season compared to 2025 baseline rates - Cumulative rushing yards differential between Taylor and the next closest competitor heading into the final regular season weeks - Injury status of top competitors, particularly Bijan Robinson (13¢ odds), De'Von Achane (4¢), and Derrick Henry (10¢) - Taylor's yards-per-carry average relative to his career performance and whether he maintains efficiency alongside volume - Whether Taylor's team prioritizes a ground-game offensive strategy or shifts toward passing in its play-calling distribution Contracts: - Will Kenneth Walker III lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Kenneth Walker III — 11¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 68%) - Will James Cook III lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: James Cook III — 8¢ Kalshi $199 (weight 12%) - Will Jonathan Taylor lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Jonathan Taylor — 8¢ Kalshi $197 (weight 12%) - Will Jahmyr Gibbs lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Jahmyr Gibbs — 15¢ Kalshi $85 (weight 5%) - Will Derrick Henry lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Derrick Henry — 18¢ Kalshi $49 (weight 3%) - Will Ashton Jeanty lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Ashton Jeanty — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Bijan Robinson lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Bijan Robinson — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Breece Hall lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Breece Hall — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 1 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-09-21T23:21:01.062Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "8% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/leadernflrushyds Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Jonathan%20Taylor%20lead%20Pro%20Football%20in%20rushing%20yards%20for%20the%202026-2027%20regular%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev