19% — Will Marvin Harrison Jr. lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season Kalshi 19% · 14 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-25 19:03:07 UTC Why this matters: This market estimates a 52% chance that Marvin Harrison Jr. finishes the 2026 NFL regular season with more receiving yards than any other player. The probability reflects uncertainty about Harrison's continued development and injury risk, balanced against his young age and Philadelphia Eagles' offensive scheme. Key drivers include whether he maintains or improves on previous season performance and how his target volume compares to elite receivers on other teams. The 2026 regular season (September 2026 through early 2027) will provide the definitive data, with final statistics compiled once all games conclude. Changes to this probability would likely follow training camp reports, preseason performance, and early-season production data that clarifies whether Harrison is on pace for a receiving yards title. Key factors: - Marvin Harrison Jr.'s receiving target volume and efficiency in 2026, compared to other elite receivers like CeeDee Lamb, Tyreek Hill, and Stefon Diggs - Injury occurrence or absence for Harrison or competing receivers during the 2026 season - Philadelphia Eagles' offensive play-calling and passing volume relative to other NFL teams' aerial attacks - Performance of Harrison's quarterback and offensive line stability affecting pass protection and opportunity - Emergence of younger receivers or career years from established players that could exceed Harrison's yardage total Contracts: - Will Puka Nacua lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Puka Nacua — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 100%) - Will Amon-Ra St. Brown lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Amon-Ra St. Brown — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Brock Bowers lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Brock Bowers — 23¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will CeeDee Lamb lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: CeeDee Lamb — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Courtland Sutton lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Courtland Sutton — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Emeka Egbuka lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Emeka Egbuka — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will George Pickens lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: George Pickens — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Ja'Marr Chase lead Pro Football in Receiving Yards for the 2026-2027 regular season?: Ja'Marr Chase — 9¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 6 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-25T18:20:50.684Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "19% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/leadernflryds Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Marvin%20Harrison%20Jr.%20lead%20Pro%20Football%20in%20Receiving%20Yards%20for%20the%202026-2027%20regular%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev