40% — Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in United Kingdom before July 27, 2026
Kalshi 40% · 3 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-25 14:20:18 UTC

Contracts:
- Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in New Jersey before August 10, 2026?: Yes — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 33%)
- Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in United Kingdom before July 27, 2026?: Yes — 14¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 33%)
- Will LIV Golf Korea take place in South Korea before June 1, 2026?: Yes — 94¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 33%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-25T14:20:11.267Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "40% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/livoccur
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20a%20LIV%20Golf%20Tournament%20take%20place%20in%20United%20Kingdom%20before%20July%2027%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev