55% — Will the minimum temperature be  >58° on Apr 22, 2026
Leader: 61° or above at 55% · Kalshi 55% · 4 contracts · $577 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:09 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 4 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the minimum temperature be  >60° on May 9, 2026?: 61° or above — 55¢ Kalshi $205 (weight 36%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  59-60° on May 9, 2026?: 59° to 60° — 40¢ Kalshi $213 (weight 37%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  57-58° on May 9, 2026?: 57° to 58° — 19¢ Kalshi $131 (weight 23%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  55-56° on May 9, 2026?: 55° to 56° — 14¢ Kalshi $27 (weight 5%)

Cite as: "55% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lowtatl
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20temperature%20be%20%20%3E58%C2%B0%20on%20Apr%2022%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev