34% — Will the minimum temperature be  64-65° on Apr 22, 2026
Leader: 68° to 69° at 34% · Kalshi 34% · 6 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:47 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 6 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the minimum temperature be  68-69° on May 9, 2026?: 68° to 69° — 34¢ Kalshi $579 (weight 24%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  66-67° on May 9, 2026?: 66° to 67° — 14¢ Kalshi $703 (weight 29%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  70-71° on May 9, 2026?: 70° to 71° — 13¢ Kalshi $427 (weight 18%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  >71° on May 9, 2026?: 72° or above — 6¢ Kalshi $345 (weight 14%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  <64° on May 9, 2026?: 63° or below — 3¢ Kalshi $188 (weight 8%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  64-65° on May 9, 2026?: 64° to 65° — 3¢ Kalshi $183 (weight 8%)

Cite as: "34% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lowtaus
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20temperature%20be%20%2064-65%C2%B0%20on%20Apr%2022%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev