37% — Will the minimum temperature be  52-53° on Apr 22, 2026
Leader: 52° or above at 37% · Kalshi 37% · 5 contracts · $4K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:22 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the minimum temperature be  >51° on May 9, 2026?: 52° or above — 37¢ Kalshi $691 (weight 16%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  50-51° on May 9, 2026?: 50° to 51° — 34¢ Kalshi $636 (weight 14%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  44-45° on May 9, 2026?: 44° to 45° — 15¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 38%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  46-47° on May 9, 2026?: 46° to 47° — 9¢ Kalshi $543 (weight 12%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  48-49° on May 9, 2026?: 48° to 49° — 8¢ Kalshi $898 (weight 20%)

Cite as: "37% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lowtchi
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20temperature%20be%20%2052-53%C2%B0%20on%20Apr%2022%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev