49% — Will the minimum temperature be  >52° on Apr 22, 2026
Leader: 53° to 54° at 49% · Kalshi 49% · 4 contracts · $220 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:05 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 4 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the minimum temperature be  53-54° on May 9, 2026?: 53° to 54° — 49¢ Kalshi $72 (weight 33%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  55-56° on May 9, 2026?: 55° to 56° — 29¢ Kalshi $124 (weight 56%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  51-52° on May 9, 2026?: 51° to 52° — 8¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 0%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  >56° on May 9, 2026?: 57° or above — 6¢ Kalshi $23 (weight 10%)

Cite as: "49% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lowtdc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20temperature%20be%20%20%3E52%C2%B0%20on%20Apr%2022%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev