38% — Will the minimum temperature be  <60° on Apr 22, 2026
Leader: 72° to 73° at 38% · Kalshi 38% · 5 contracts · $1K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:02 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 5 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the minimum temperature be  72-73° on May 9, 2026?: 72° to 73° — 38¢ Kalshi $410 (weight 38%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  70-71° on May 9, 2026?: 70° to 71° — 30¢ Kalshi $16 (weight 1%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  >73° on May 9, 2026?: 74° or above — 15¢ Kalshi $453 (weight 42%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  68-69° on May 9, 2026?: 68° to 69° — 11¢ Kalshi $81 (weight 7%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  66-67° on May 9, 2026?: 66° to 67° — 3¢ Kalshi $128 (weight 12%)

Cite as: "38% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lowthou
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20temperature%20be%20%20%3C60%C2%B0%20on%20Apr%2022%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev