36% — Will the minimum temperature be  <42° on Apr 22, 2026
Leader: 48° to 49° at 36% · Kalshi 36% · 6 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:37 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 6 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the minimum temperature be  48-49° on May 9, 2026?: 48° to 49° — 36¢ Kalshi $255 (weight 8%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  46-47° on May 9, 2026?: 46° to 47° — 35¢ Kalshi $12 (weight 0%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  44-45° on May 9, 2026?: 44° to 45° — 13¢ Kalshi $159 (weight 5%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  42-43° on May 9, 2026?: 42° to 43° — 6¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 50%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  <42° on May 9, 2026?: 41° or below — 4¢ Kalshi $416 (weight 13%)
- Will the minimum temperature be  >49° on May 9, 2026?: 50° or above — 3¢ Kalshi $714 (weight 23%)

Cite as: "36% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/lowtmin
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20temperature%20be%20%20%3C42%C2%B0%20on%20Apr%2022%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev