40% — Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC
Polymarket 45% · Kalshi 37% · 20 contracts · $12K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:38:34 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 8pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- Will Vancouver Surge win the Los Angeles Thieves vs. Vancouver Surge match?: Vancouver Surge — 13¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 11%)
- Will Los Angeles Thieves win the Los Angeles Thieves vs. Vancouver Surge match?: Los Angeles Thieves — 85¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 11%)
- Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?: Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass — 53¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 11%)
- Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?: Nithya Raman vs. Spencer Pratt — 25¢ Kalshi $787 (weight 9%)
- Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?: Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt — 23¢ Kalshi $744 (weight 9%)
- Will over 4.5 maps be played in the Los Angeles Thieves vs. Vancouver Surge Call of Duty match?: Over 4.5 maps — 18¢ Kalshi $594 (weight 9%)
- Will Los Angeles Thieves win map 2 in the Los Angeles Thieves vs. Vancouver Surge match?: Los Angeles Thieves — 53¢ Kalshi $560 (weight 9%)
- Will over 3.5 maps be played in the Los Angeles Thieves vs. Vancouver Surge Call of Duty match?: Over 3.5 maps — 58¢ Kalshi $535 (weight 9%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "40% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/minnesota-united-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Minnesota%20United%20FC%20vs.%20Los%20Angeles%20FC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev