76% — Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets
Leader: O/U 1.5 at 76% · Polymarket 76% · 9 contracts · $958 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:14:34 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This represents a 77% probability that a Mirassol FC versus Associação Chapecoense de Futebol match will have more than 1.5 total goals scored. The probability reflects expectations about both teams' offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities. The level is driven by typical goal frequencies in Brazilian football at this tier and how each squad has performed recently—Mirassol's attacking potency versus Chapecoense's defensive record would be primary considerations. The match itself will resolve this uncertainty; the outcome depends on actual team performance, tactical adjustments, and in-game circumstances when the fixture is played. Light trading volume ($133 in 24-hour volume on the leading contract) suggests modest market participation, though the pricing is internally consistent across related spread contracts. Traders are moderately confident in an over-1.5-goal result rather than viewing it as a toss-up.

Key factors:
- Mirassol FC's recent goal-scoring rate and average goals-per-match output in the current season
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol's defensive record and goals-conceded average over recent fixtures
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these two clubs if available
- Low trading volume ($133 24h vol on top contract) indicates limited market conviction and potential pricing inefficiency
- Spread contract pricing shows 37¢ for Mirassol -1.5 and 30¢ for O/U 3.5, consistent with expectations of 2–3 total goals

Contracts:
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: O/U 1.5 — 76¢ Polymarket $127 (weight 13%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: O/U 2.5 — 53¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: Both Teams to Score — 49¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: Mirassol FC (-1.5) — 38¢ Polymarket $558 (weight 58%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: O/U 3.5 — 31¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: Mirassol FC (-2.5) — 18¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: O/U 4.5 — 14¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5) — 4¢ Polymarket $9 (weight 1%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "76% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mirassol-fc-vs-associao-chapecoense-de-futebol-more-markets
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Mirassol%20FC%20vs.%20Associa%C3%A7%C3%A3o%20Chapecoense%20de%20Futebol%20-%20More%20Markets
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev