13% — Will Drew Burress be a top 10 draft pick in 2026
Kalshi 13% · 1 contracts · $138 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-07-13 05:11:44 UTC

Why this matters:
This market estimates a 51% probability that Drew Burress will be selected in the top 10 of the 2026 NFL Draft. The near-even odds suggest uncertainty about whether he'll maintain his current projection or slip further down the board. Burress's final position depends on his performance during the remainder of the pre-draft process, including any remaining workouts, interviews, and medical evaluations conducted by NFL teams. The 2026 NFL Draft, scheduled for late April 2026, will resolve this question definitively. Teams' final draft decisions are driven by their specific needs, board rankings, and trade activity on draft day, making prediction challenging when probabilities are balanced this closely.

Key factors:
- Drew Burress's performance metrics and film evaluation compared to other quarterback and skill position prospects in the 2026 class
- Results from NFL Combine testing, Pro Days, and any private workouts conducted in the months leading to the draft
- Trade activity and team positioning in the top 10, which determines how many available picks exist and what positions teams prioritize
- Medical evaluations and any injury history or concerns that could cause teams to downgrade or pass on Burress
- Declared intentions of teams holding top-10 picks regarding their draft priorities and publicly available mock draft consensus

Contracts:
- Will Cameron Flukey be a top 10 draft pick in 2026?: Cameron Flukey — 13¢ Kalshi $138 (weight 100%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-07-12T19:20:52.052Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "13% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, July 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mlbdrafttop
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Drew%20Burress%20be%20a%20top%2010%20draft%20pick%20in%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev