5% — Will there be extra innings in the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis game originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT
Leader: Game goes to extra innings at 5% · Kalshi 5% · 15 contracts · $9 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-28 20:44:04 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 15 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will there be extra innings in the Minnesota vs Pittsburgh game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be extra innings in the San Francisco vs Colorado game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 9:10 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $9 (weight 100%)
- Will there be extra innings in the Atlanta vs Cincinnati game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be extra innings in the Minnesota vs Pittsburgh game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be extra innings in the San Diego vs Washington game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be extra innings in the Kansas City vs Texas game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be extra innings in the Milwaukee vs Houston game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will there be extra innings in the San Francisco vs Colorado game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT?: Game goes to extra innings — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 7 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-05-28T20:20:09.603Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "5% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mlbextras
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20there%20be%20extra%20innings%20in%20the%20Pittsburgh%20vs%20St.%20Louis%20game%20originally%20scheduled%20for%20May%2019%2C%202026%20at%207%3A45%20PM%20EDT
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev