11% — Will Brandon Woodruff win NL CPOTY
Kalshi 11% · 9 contracts · $750 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:04 UTC

Why this matters:
This represents the 9% implied probability that Brandon Woodruff will win the National League Cy Young Award in 2026. The low probability reflects that Woodruff faces significant competition from other elite pitchers in the NL who may have stronger seasons. His odds could shift based on his ERA, strikeout rate, win-loss record, and innings pitched throughout the season compared to other contenders. The award will be determined in November 2026 after the regular season concludes, with voters considering cumulative statistics and performance metrics across the entire year.

Key factors:
- Woodruff's ERA and WHIP relative to other NL starting pitchers through October 2026
- Total innings pitched and durability—Cy Young voting historically favors pitchers with high volume
- Win-loss record and team success, as voters sometimes weight wins heavily despite shifts toward advanced metrics
- Strikeout rate and K/9 ratio compared to primary NL competitors
- Injuries or performance decline during the season that could eliminate him from contention by year's end

Contracts:
- Will Sandy Alcantara win NL CPOTY?: Sandy Alcantara — 18¢ Kalshi $680 (weight 91%)
- Will Zack Wheeler win NL CPOTY?: Zack Wheeler — 28¢ Kalshi $70 (weight 9%)
- Will Brandon Woodruff win NL CPOTY?: Brandon Woodruff — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Michael Harris II win NL CPOTY?: Michael Harris II — 10¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Tanner Scott win NL CPOTY?: Tanner Scott — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Shota Imanaga win NL CPOTY?: Shota Imanaga — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Ezequiel Tovar win NL CPOTY?: Ezequiel Tovar — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Sean Manaea win NL CPOTY?: Sean Manaea — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "11% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mlbnlcpoty
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Brandon%20Woodruff%20win%20NL%20CPOTY
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev