10% — Will Robert Suarez win NL Reliever of the Year
Kalshi 10% · 15 contracts · $312 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:09:03 UTC

Why this matters:
This 10% probability indicates that prediction market participants see Robert Suarez as a relatively unlikely winner of the 2026 National League Reliever of the Year award. The current market pricing reflects Suarez's 2026 performance relative to other NL relievers, with factors like ERA, saves, innings pitched, and overall team success typically influencing voting outcomes. The probability could shift significantly based on how Suarez performs through the remainder of the 2026 season, injury developments, or if he accumulates standout statistics that separate him from competitors. The resolution will occur after the regular season concludes, when voting is conducted and the award winner is announced in early November 2026. Until then, his actual performance metrics and comparative standing among other elite NL relievers will drive any market movement.

Key factors:
- Suarez's season-to-date ERA, saves total, and innings pitched relative to other NL relievers as of early May 2026
- Injury status and availability for the remainder of the 2026 season, which would affect accumulation of statistics and voting consideration
- Performance trajectory through June-September, including consistency and success in high-leverage situations
- Competition from other established relief pitchers in the NL with similar or better statistical profiles
- Voter preferences weighted toward different statistical categories (saves versus ERA versus overall appearances) when the award is decided in November 2026

Contracts:
- Will Mason Miller win NL Reliever of the Year?: Mason Miller — 68¢ Kalshi $265 (weight 85%)
- Will Riley O’Brien win NL Reliever of the Year?: Riley O’Brien — 5¢ Kalshi $47 (weight 15%)
- Will Robert Suarez win NL Reliever of the Year?: Robert Suarez — 8¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Pete Fairbanks win NL Reliever of the Year?: Pete Fairbanks — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Raisel Iglesias win NL Reliever of the Year?: Raisel Iglesias — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Emilio Pagán win NL Reliever of the Year?: Emilio Pagán — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Tanner Scott win NL Reliever of the Year?: Tanner Scott — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Ryan Walker win NL Reliever of the Year?: Ryan Walker — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 7 more

Cite as: "10% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mlbnlreloty
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Robert%20Suarez%20win%20NL%20Reliever%20of%20the%20Year
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev