37% — Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs
Kalshi 36% · 20 contracts · $919K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:26:08 UTC

Contracts:
- New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs?: New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs — 57¢ Kalshi $346K (weight 6%)
- Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?: Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs — 44¢ Kalshi $148K (weight 6%)
- Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs?: Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs — 31¢ Kalshi $96K (weight 6%)
- New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs?: New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs — 46¢ Kalshi $61K (weight 6%)
- Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs?: Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs — 47¢ Kalshi $43K (weight 5%)
- Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?: Boston wins by over 1.5 runs — 43¢ Kalshi $41K (weight 5%)
- Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?: Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs — 44¢ Kalshi $32K (weight 5%)
- Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs?: Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs — 35¢ Kalshi $27K (weight 5%)
- ... and 12 more

Cite as: "37% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mlbspread
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Seattle%20wins%20by%20over%202.5%20runs
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev