20% — Will Los Angeles D have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season
Kalshi 20% · 9 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-07-27 08:02:58 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability represents the odds that the Los Angeles Dodgers will have the longest winning streak during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. At 18%, this reflects the Dodgers as one of several competitive teams but not the favorite—Chicago's contract prices at 15¢ suggest they're considered slightly more likely to achieve this benchmark. The current level likely reflects the Dodgers' regular-season performance through early July, their roster composition, and remaining schedule depth. The key driver is whether Los Angeles can sustain consecutive wins better than other contenders as teams navigate the stretch run toward September. The single biggest factor remaining is how roster health and trades during the MLB's July 31st deadline affect each team's ability to build and maintain winning streaks in the season's final two months.

Key factors:
- Los Angeles's actual win-loss record and longest streak achieved through July 3rd, 2026 compared to other top contenders like Chicago, Boston, and Cleveland
- The quality and consistency of the Dodgers' pitching rotation and bullpen availability during extended winning periods in the season's second half
- Whether key position players remain healthy and productive through August and September when winning streaks are most likely to occur
- The strength of the Dodgers' remaining schedule—quality of opponents and travel demands that could impact consecutive game performance
- How effectively the Dodgers' front office addresses roster gaps via trade deadline acquisitions to enable longer sustained winning streaks

Contracts:
- Will Atlanta have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Atlanta — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Baltimore have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Baltimore — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Boston have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Boston — 87¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Cleveland have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Cleveland — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Detroit have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Detroit — 18¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Los Angeles A have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Los Angeles A — 17¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Los Angeles D have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Los Angeles D — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- Will Minnesota have the longest winning streak in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?: Minnesota — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%)
- ... and 1 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-07-27T07:20:51.024Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "20% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, July 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/mlbwstreak
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Los%20Angeles%20D%20have%20the%20longest%20winning%20streak%20in%20the%202026%20Pro%20Baseball%20regular%20season
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev