13% — Montedio Yamagata vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5)
Leader: SC Sagamihara (-1.5) at 13% · Polymarket 13% · 2 contracts · $0 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 05:11:32 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 2 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This market estimates a 34% probability that SC Sagamihara will win their upcoming match against Montedio Yamagata by 1.5 or more goals. The closely-clustered contract prices (34¢ and 33¢) suggest uncertainty between SC Sagamihara winning by the specified margin versus other outcomes—either a narrower Sagamihara victory, a draw, or a Montedio win. The probability will be resolved when the match concludes. Key factors influencing this estimate include each team's recent form in the J2 League, head-to-head historical matchup data, current league standings and goal differential, and any lineup changes or injuries affecting either squad. The low recent trading volume ($0 over 24 hours) indicates limited market activity, which may reduce confidence in the price accuracy.

Key factors:
- SC Sagamihara's current win rate and average goals scored per match this season versus Montedio Yamagata's defensive record
- Montedio Yamagata's recent form and whether they are trending toward or away from goal-scoring streaks
- Historical head-to-head records between these two J2 League teams, if available, and typical margin of victory when SC Sagamihara wins
- Any confirmed absences, injuries, or roster changes for either team in the days leading up to the match
- Home/away venue designation and whether either team has a significant home-field advantage affecting goal-scoring patterns

Contracts:
- Montedio Yamagata vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-1.5) — 13¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 50%)
- Montedio Yamagata vs. SC Sagamihara - More Markets: SC Sagamihara (-2.5) — 11¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 50%)

Cite as: "13% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/montedio-yamagata-vs-sc-sagamihara-more-markets-sc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Montedio%20Yamagata%20vs.%20SC%20Sagamihara%20-%20More%20Markets%3A%20SC%20Sagamihara%20(-1.5)
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev