50% — Will the natural gas close price be above 2.790  USD/MMBtu on Apr 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT
Leader: above $2.750 at 50% · Kalshi 50% · 18 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 07:21:26 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 18 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.750  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.750 — 50¢ Kalshi $59 (weight 3%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.770  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.770 — 43¢ Kalshi $21 (weight 1%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.775  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.775 — 41¢ Kalshi $67 (weight 3%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.785  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.785 — 38¢ Kalshi $40 (weight 2%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.800  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.800 — 34¢ Kalshi $298 (weight 13%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.810  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.810 — 31¢ Kalshi $131 (weight 6%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.830  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.830 — 24¢ Kalshi $202 (weight 9%)
- Will the natural gas close price be above 2.845  USD/MMBtu on May 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: above $2.845 — 21¢ Kalshi $89 (weight 4%)
- ... and 10 more

Cite as: "50% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/natgasd
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20natural%20gas%20close%20price%20be%20above%202.790%20%20USD%2FMMBtu%20on%20Apr%2021%2C%202026%20at%205pm%20EDT
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev