48% — Will Kawhi Leonard be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team
Kalshi 33% · 3 contracts · $1K volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:27:45 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability reflects the likelihood that Kawhi Leonard will earn first-team All-Pro honors for the 2025-26 season. At 46%, the market suggests roughly even odds, indicating meaningful uncertainty about whether he'll rank among the top two at his position. His selection depends primarily on his health status and playing time—Kawhi has dealt with ongoing availability concerns that could limit his statistical accumulation relative to competitors. The All-Pro voting typically concludes in early 2026 based on regular-season performance, so the key driver will be actual games played and statistical production through the season. Related markets show other guards like Cade Cunningham (70¢) are viewed as more likely first-team candidates, while Jaylen Brown (26¢) faces longer odds, suggesting positional competition and health narratives differ across players.

Key factors:
- Kawhi's games played in 2025-26 regular season—historical hamstring and knee issues could limit availability
- Per-game scoring and efficiency compared to other guards competing for first-team spots
- Team winning record and playoff seeding—All-Pro voters weight both individual performance and team success
- Media narrative and voter perception of 'peak performance' vs. durability, which has historically affected his All-Pro selections
- Timing of All-Pro voting in February 2026, which depends on complete regular-season statistics and voter consensus

Contracts:
- Will Cade Cunningham be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team?: Cade Cunningham — 82¢ Kalshi $681 (weight 50%)
- Will Jaylen Brown be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team?: Jaylen Brown — 15¢ Kalshi $385 (weight 45%)
- Will Jalen Brunson be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 1st Team?: Jalen Brunson — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 5%)

Cite as: "48% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nba1stteam
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kawhi%20Leonard%20be%20selected%20to%20the%202025-26%20All-Pro%20Basketball%201st%20Team
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev