21% — Will OG Anunoby be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team
Kalshi 27% · 13 contracts · $137 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 19:24:08 UTC

Why this matters:
This contract reflects a 28% chance that OG Anunoby will earn All-Pro 1st Team Defensive honors for the 2025-26 NBA season. Anunoby's selection probability hinges on two primary factors: his actual defensive performance during the season and the competitive field of elite wing defenders vying for limited spots. The All-Pro voting typically occurs in early April after the regular season concludes, meaning the market is pricing in uncertainty about both Anunoby's consistency over a full season and how voters will compare him to peers like Ausar Thompson (who trades at 96¢) and other top candidates. The resolution will depend entirely on voting results announced following the 2025-26 regular season. Currently, markets suggest Anunoby faces meaningful competition for this honor, with his probability notably lower than emerging candidates like Thompson but higher than some established perimeter defenders.

Key factors:
- Anunoby's defensive rating and steal/block statistics relative to other wing defenders throughout the 2025-26 season
- The health and availability of competing defensive candidates, particularly younger wings like Ausar Thompson trading much higher in markets
- Voter preferences in All-Pro balloting, which can favor players on high-seed teams or those with elevated public profile
- Anunoby's overall role and minutes for his team—reserve or reduced roles typically decrease All-Pro chances regardless of efficiency
- The final voting results announced by the league, which will definitively resolve this contract based on whether he receives sufficient votes for 1st Team Defensive honors

Contracts:
- Will Bam Adebayo be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Bam Adebayo — 8¢ Kalshi $115 (weight 30%)
- Will Derrick White be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Derrick White — 22¢ Kalshi $20 (weight 19%)
- Will Amen Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Amen Thompson — 13¢ Kalshi $2 (weight 7%)
- Will Ausar Thompson be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Ausar Thompson — 96¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 4%)
- Will Donovan Clingan be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Donovan Clingan — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 4%)
- Will Dyson Daniels be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Dyson Daniels — 11¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 4%)
- Will Draymond Green be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Draymond Green — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 4%)
- Will Ivica Zubac be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 1st Team?: Ivica Zubac — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 4%)
- ... and 5 more

Cite as: "21% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nba1stteamdef
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20OG%20Anunoby%20be%20selected%20to%20the%202025-26%20Pro%20Basketball%20Defensive%201st%20Team
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev