70% — Will De'Aaron Fox record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs Kalshi 70% · 8 contracts · $9K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-28 22:15:36 UTC Why this matters: This market asks whether De'Aaron Fox will make at least one three-pointer in every game of the Finals series between New York and San Antonio. At 24%, it reflects skepticism that any player maintains consistent three-point production across an entire playoff series. The probability depends primarily on series length (best-of-7 means more games to avoid going scoreless from three) and Fox's role in the Knicks' offensive system. For context, related markets show Victor Wembanyama at 41% for the same threshold, suggesting expectations differ significantly by player. The series outcome itself, currently underway or imminent, will determine which games actually occur and whether Fox maintains the required consistency throughout. Key factors: - De'Aaron Fox's historical three-point frequency during the 2025-26 regular season and prior playoff performance - Whether the series extends to 6 or 7 games versus concluding in 4 or 5, directly affecting total opportunities for Fox to miss the threshold - Fox's role and minutes in New York's Finals offensive scheme and whether defensive focus from San Antonio affects his shooting opportunities - The comparative market prices for similar players (Wembanyama at 41%, Towns at 23% for 1+ makes) suggesting Fox is priced as lower probability than some peers - Historical data on whether any NBA guard typically makes three-pointers in every single Finals game across multiple contests Contracts: - Will Victor Wembanyama record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Victor Wembanyama: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 95¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 29%) - Will Jalen Brunson record 2+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Jalen Brunson: 2+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 89¢ Kalshi $2K (weight 21%) - Will Julian Champagnie record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Julian Champagnie: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 67¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 16%) - Will OG Anunoby record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OG Anunoby: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 63¢ Kalshi $900 (weight 9%) - Will Devin Vassell record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Devin Vassell: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 64¢ Kalshi $805 (weight 8%) - Will Stephon Castle record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Stephon Castle: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 91¢ Kalshi $599 (weight 6%) - Will Jalen Brunson record 1+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Jalen Brunson: 1+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 69¢ Kalshi $536 (weight 6%) - Will OG Anunoby record 2+ three pointers made in every game of the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: OG Anunoby: 2+ made three pointers in every game of the series — 20¢ Kalshi $380 (weight 4%) --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-15T01:20:50.451Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "70% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nba3ptallgames Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20De'Aaron%20Fox%20record%201%2B%20three%20pointers%20made%20in%20every%20game%20of%20the%20New%20York%20vs%20San%20Antonio%20Pro%20Basketball%20Finals%20series%20in%20the%202026%20Pro%20Basketball%20Playoffs Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev