60% — Will at least 800 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs Leader: 1000+ total points in the series at 60% · Kalshi 60% · 6 contracts · $151 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-28 23:09:57 UTC Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 6 outcomes. Why this matters: This question asks whether the New York and San Antonio basketball teams will combine to score at least 900 total points across their Finals series. The 86% probability reflects market expectation that this is highly likely. Scoring totals in professional basketball Finals depend primarily on series length—best-of-seven matchups naturally accumulate more points than shorter series—and the offensive efficiency of both teams. The resolution hinges on how quickly the series concludes and whether either team plays at unusually high or low scoring rates. The series outcome will be determined by the final game played, which depends on when one team reaches four wins. Key factors: - Series length: Each additional game adds roughly 200-220 combined points; a seven-game series is substantially more likely to exceed 900 points than a four-game sweep - Team offensive pace and efficiency: New York and San Antonio's season-average points per game, pace of play, and defensive strength directly determine whether games trend toward higher or lower scoring totals - Historical Finals scoring patterns: Recent championship series have produced combined scores ranging from 750 to 950 points depending on matchup dynamics and era - Individual star player performance: Key contributors' availability and form impact pace of play and scoring consistency across the series - Defensive adjustments: Teams typically tighten defense during Finals play, which can suppress scoring compared to regular-season rates Contracts: - Will at least 1000 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1000+ total points in the series — 60¢ Kalshi $94 (weight 62%) - Will at least 1100 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1100+ total points in the series — 60¢ Kalshi $35 (weight 23%) - Will at least 1300 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1300+ total points in the series — 30¢ Kalshi $5 (weight 3%) - Will at least 1400 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1400+ total points in the series — 19¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will at least 1500 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1500+ total points in the series — 7¢ Kalshi $17 (weight 11%) - Will at least 1600 points be scored in the New York vs San Antonio Pro Basketball Finals series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: 1600+ total points in the series — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-15T01:20:50.451Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "60% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nbaseriestotalpts Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20at%20least%20800%20points%20be%20scored%20in%20the%20New%20York%20vs%20San%20Antonio%20Pro%20Basketball%20Finals%20series%20in%20the%202026%20Pro%20Basketball%20Playoffs Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev