83% — Game 3: Denver at Minnesota: Spread: Over 217.5 points scored
Leader: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 199.5 points scored at 83% · Kalshi 83% · 11 contracts · $249K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 05:22:56 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 11 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 199.5 points scored — 83¢ Kalshi $14K (weight 6%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 202.5 points scored — 77¢ Kalshi $6K (weight 3%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 205.5 points scored — 71¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 1%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 208.5 points scored — 64¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 2%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 211.5 points scored — 57¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 2%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 214.5 points scored — 51¢ Kalshi $147K (weight 59%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 217.5 points scored — 43¢ Kalshi $54K (weight 22%)
- Game 2: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 220.5 points scored — 37¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 2%)
- ... and 3 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-06T01:20:11.411Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "83% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nbatotal
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Game%203%3A%20Denver%20at%20Minnesota%3A%20Spread%3A%20Over%20217.5%20points%20scored
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev