97% — Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views
Leader: At least 6 million at 97% · Kalshi 97% · 9 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:40 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 9 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?: At least 6 million — 97¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?: At least 15 million — 94¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?: At least 18 million — 90¢ Kalshi $15 (weight 1%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 21 million views?: At least 21 million — 88¢ Kalshi $69 (weight 4%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 25 million views?: At least 25 million — 82¢ Kalshi $648 (weight 34%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 30 million views?: At least 30 million — 45¢ Kalshi $613 (weight 32%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 35 million views?: At least 35 million — 11¢ Kalshi $42 (weight 2%)
- Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 40 million views?: At least 40 million — 8¢ Kalshi $402 (weight 21%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "97% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/netflixtopviewsmovie
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20%231%20Movie%20on%20Netflix%20have%20at%20least%206%20million%20views
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev