22% — Who will be Trump's next Attorney General
Kalshi 18% · 5 contracts · $26K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 15:22:48 UTC

Why this matters:
Todd Blanche is currently priced at 62% to become Trump's next Attorney General, with Lee Zeldin at 17% as the runner-up. Blanche's elevated probability likely reflects his prominence as a Trump legal representative and recent visibility. The outcome hinges on Trump's appointment decision, which could occur during his term depending on vacancy circumstances or staffing transitions. Key catalysts include actual departures or announcements from current or future DOJ leadership. Market participants are pricing in Blanche's odds based on perceived proximity to Trump's inner circle and litigation experience. Resolution will occur when Trump formally announces or nominates his choice for the Attorney General position.

Key factors:
- Blanche holds substantial recent legal representation experience for Trump across multiple cases
- Lee Zeldin's 17% pricing reflects his established political background and prior Trump administration service
- No scheduled announcement date is publicly known; resolution depends on when a vacancy or staffing change occurs
- Market volume of $16,133 in 24-hour trading on the Blanche contract indicates moderate information flow but concentrated betting
- Competing candidates including DeSantis, Zeldin, and Pirro collectively hold 27% implied probability, showing meaningful alternative possibilities

Contracts:
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?: Todd Blanche — 62¢ Kalshi $16K (weight 25%)
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?: Ron DeSantis — 6¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 22%)
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?: Lee Zeldin — 17¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 21%)
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?: Jeanine Pirro — 3¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 21%)
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?: Harmeet Dhillon — 3¢ Kalshi $54 (weight 11%)

Cite as: "22% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nextag
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20be%20Trump's%20next%20Attorney%20General
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev