14% — Will Emerson Bartolome win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5
Kalshi 14% · 9 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:04 UTC

Why this matters:
This market estimates a 13% probability that Emerson Bartolome will win Next Level Chef Season 5. The relatively low odds suggest the market views Bartolome as a competitive but not favored contestant among the season's participants. The probability reflects uncertainty about contestant performance, judge preferences, and elimination dynamics across the season's full run. Resolution depends on the show's broadcast schedule and final episode outcome. Key drivers include Bartolome's performance in early episodes, strength of competing chefs, and judge feedback patterns that emerge as the season progresses.

Key factors:
- Early episode performance and elimination results will provide direct evidence of Bartolome's competitive position relative to other contestants
- Judge commentary and scoring patterns in broadcast episodes will signal confidence levels in Bartolome's technical skills and creativity
- Contestant eliminations and advancement rounds will reduce uncertainty by narrowing the final pool from which a winner can emerge
- Prior performance data on similar contestants or previous season winners may inform expectations about Bartolome's trajectory
- The show's air date schedule determines when market resolution occurs and how much information becomes available before final episodes

Contracts:
- Will Darian Bryan win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Darian Bryan — 91¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 81%)
- Will Connor Caine win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Connor Caine — 6¢ Kalshi $255 (weight 14%)
- Will Cole Lawson win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Cole Lawson — 5¢ Kalshi $94 (weight 5%)
- Will Danielle Kartes win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Danielle Kartes — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Elise Jesse win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Elise Jesse — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Emerson Bartolome win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Emerson Bartolome — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Gabrielle Coniglio win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Gabrielle Coniglio — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Mareya Ibrahim-Jones win ‘Next Level Chef’ Season 5?: Mareya Ibrahim-Jones — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

Cite as: "14% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nextlevelchef
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Emerson%20Bartolome%20win%20%E2%80%98Next%20Level%20Chef%E2%80%99%20Season%205
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev