96% — What will be David Njoku's next team
Leader: Pittsburgh at 96% · Kalshi 96% · 10 contracts · $7K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-25 20:31:52 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 10 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This probability reflects market expectations that David Njoku will play for the Los Angeles Chargers as his next team. The 78% figure represents the highest-priced outcome among multiple competing destinations. Market pricing is influenced by contract availability, salary cap constraints across NFL teams, and Njoku's performance metrics entering the offseason. The primary resolution catalyst depends on the NFL's free-agency period and trade deadline windows, where team roster decisions and player movement typically occur. Shifts in this probability would follow explicit team statements about roster intentions, reported contract negotiations, or trades involving Njoku.

Key factors:
- Los Angeles Chargers' salary cap capacity and stated roster priorities heading into the 2026 offseason
- Njoku's contract status, injury history, and performance statistics compared to other available tight end options
- Competing destinations' need at tight end and willingness to allocate resources to that position
- Official team announcements, reported trade activity, or free-agency signings that narrow available options
- Timing of NFL free agency and trade windows when actual team transitions are formalized

Contracts:
- What will be Aaron Rodgers's next team?: Pittsburgh — 96¢ Kalshi $38 (weight 1%)
- What will be T.J. Watt's next team?: Pittsburgh — 76¢ Kalshi $205 (weight 3%)
- What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires — 53¢ Kalshi $3K (weight 40%)
- What will be Kayvon Thibodeaux's next team?: Stays with New York G or Retires — 25¢ Kalshi $64 (weight 1%)
- What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Baltimore — 20¢ Kalshi $107 (weight 1%)
- What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: San Francisco — 8¢ Kalshi $447 (weight 6%)
- What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Stays with New England or Retires — 7¢ Kalshi $55 (weight 1%)
- What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Philadelphia — 6¢ Kalshi $32 (weight 0%)
- ... and 2 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-25T20:20:50.106Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "96% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nextteamnfl
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20be%20David%20Njoku's%20next%20team
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev