95% — What will be David Njoku's next team
Leader: Pittsburgh at 95% · Kalshi 95% · 13 contracts · $16K volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-08-10 12:59:34 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 13 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This 95% probability indicates that according to current market pricing, Njoku's next team is heavily favored to be a specific outcome among the available options. The high probability reflects strong confidence in a particular destination, likely driven by recent reporting, contract negotiations, or team interest. Market participants are pricing in minimal uncertainty about his next landing spot. Key drivers include any official team statements, free agency developments, or trade activity involving Njoku. The primary catalyst for resolution would be either an official signing announcement, trade confirmation, or the start of the 2026 NFL season, which would definitively establish his roster destination and settle all competing contracts.

Key factors:
- Official team announcements or press releases confirming Njoku's signing or trade, which would immediately resolve the contract
- Recent salary cap space or roster moves by the leading team candidate, indicating active pursuit of Njoku
- Competing contract pricing from other team outcomes, showing how dramatically one outcome dominates market sentiment versus alternatives
- Timeline to contract signing or trade deadline—certainty increases as the window for free agency progresses
- Breaking news or official statements from Njoku's representatives or interested teams that would shift probability materially

Contracts:
- What will be Aaron Rodgers's next team?: Pittsburgh — 95¢ Kalshi $887 (weight 6%)
- What will be Davante Adams's next team?: Stays with Los Angeles R or Retires from Pro Football — 95¢ Kalshi $5 (weight 0%)
- What will be Rashid Shaheed's next team?: Stays with Seattle or Retires — 93¢ Kalshi $1 (weight 0%)
- What will be T.J. Watt's next team?: Pittsburgh — 88¢ Kalshi $345 (weight 2%)
- What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires — 66¢ Kalshi $962 (weight 6%)
- What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Stays with Miami or Retires — 38¢ Kalshi $46 (weight 0%)
- What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Dallas — 11¢ Kalshi $239 (weight 2%)
- What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Carolina — 10¢ Kalshi $4K (weight 27%)
- ... and 5 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-10T12:20:49.920Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "95% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nextteamnfl
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20be%20David%20Njoku's%20next%20team
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev