17% — What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season Leader: 1: San Francisco / 2: Los Angeles R / 3: Seattle / 4: Arizona at 17% · Kalshi 17% · 17 contracts · $2K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-08-10 07:34:28 UTC Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 17 outcomes. Why this matters: This market estimates the probability that Detroit finishes 1st, Green Bay 2nd, Chicago 3rd, and Minnesota 4th in the NFC North division at the end of the 2026-27 regular season at 22%. The Detroit Lions' recent competitive strength and roster development are primary factors supporting this scenario, while competitive balance within the division—particularly Green Bay's quarterback situation and Minnesota's offensive capability—creates uncertainty. The outcome will be substantially shaped by mid-season team performance, injury outcomes, and trade-deadline moves between now and the February 2027 season conclusion. Division standings depend on win-loss records across 17 games, making roster health and coaching consistency critical variables through the full season arc. Key factors: - Detroit's divisional win-loss record and whether they maintain the competitive edge they've established in recent seasons - Green Bay's quarterback performance and overall roster composition relative to other division teams - Minnesota's ability to compete for division titles given their recent trajectory and roster investments - Chicago's developmental progress if they are fielding a younger rebuild roster in 2026 - Injury occurrence rates among key players, particularly at quarterback and skill positions, across all four teams from now through February 2027 Contracts: - What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: San Francisco / 2: Los Angeles R / 3: Seattle / 4: Arizona — 17¢ Kalshi $20 (weight 1%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC East at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Dallas / 2: Philadelphia / 3: New York G / 4: Washington — 16¢ Kalshi $295 (weight 12%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Denver / 2: Kansas City / 3: Los Angeles C / 4: Las Vegas — 16¢ Kalshi $118 (weight 5%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Denver / 2: Los Angeles C / 3: Kansas City / 4: Las Vegas — 16¢ Kalshi $81 (weight 3%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Tennessee / 4: Indianapolis — 16¢ Kalshi $25 (weight 1%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC East at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Dallas / 2: Philadelphia / 3: Washington / 4: New York G — 15¢ Kalshi $19 (weight 1%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Jacksonville / 2: Indianapolis / 3: Houston / 4: Tennessee — 14¢ Kalshi $34 (weight 1%) - What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Chicago / 2: Detroit / 3: Minnesota / 4: Green Bay — 13¢ Kalshi $44 (weight 2%) - ... and 9 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-08-10T07:20:51.377Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "17% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldivisionorder Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20be%20the%20exact%20order%20of%20standings%20for%20the%20NFC%20North%20at%20the%20conclusion%20of%20the%202026-27%20Pro%20Football%20regular%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev