11% — Will Sonny Styles be the 2nd Linebacker drafted
Kalshi 11% · 1 contracts · $132 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-08-11 15:26:11 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability represents the likelihood that Sonny Styles will be selected as the second linebacker taken in the upcoming NFL Draft. The 12% market price reflects considerable skepticism about Styles achieving a high-enough draft ranking to be the second linebacker off the board. This metric depends primarily on how scouts and teams evaluate Styles relative to other linebacker prospects in the class, and whether teams prioritize the position early enough that he lands in that specific slot. The NFL Draft itself will resolve this question definitively. Between now and then, combine performance metrics, pre-draft interviews, team needs based on free agency moves, and mock draft consensus will all influence expectations. The market would likely adjust upward if Styles receives strong evaluations from major scouting services or if top teams signal interest, and downward if other linebackers gain ground in prospect rankings.

Key factors:
- Current consensus linebacker rankings and how many prospects are rated ahead of Styles at the position
- Historical draft patterns showing how many linebackers typically get selected in each draft round and team demand for the position
- Styles' performance metrics (speed, instincts, tackling ability) relative to other top linebacker prospects in the class
- Team needs and cap situations of franchises projected to pick early, particularly those lacking at linebacker
- Changes to Styles' ranking in major scouting services or mock drafts between now and the draft

Contracts:
- Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Sonny Styles — 11¢ Kalshi $132 (weight 100%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-08-11T15:20:49.481Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "11% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, August 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftlb
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Sonny%20Styles%20be%20the%202nd%20Linebacker%20drafted
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev