16% — Will Sonny Styles be the 2nd Linebacker drafted
Kalshi 16% · 1 contracts · $37 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-06-25 19:44:24 UTC

Why this matters:
This contract asks whether Sonny Styles will be selected as the second linebacker taken in the 2026 NFL Draft. At 24%, the market suggests roughly a one-in-four chance he receives this specific honor. The probability reflects uncertainty around both his draft position and competition from other linebacker prospects. Key factors driving this assessment include Styles' current performance metrics, how other defensive prospects are evaluated leading into the draft, and any injuries or standout performances that could shift teams' draft priorities. The resolution will be determined once the NFL Draft concludes and the second linebacker is officially selected, likely in late April 2026.

Key factors:
- Sonny Styles' performance trajectory and physical measurements relative to other linebacker prospects evaluating for the draft
- Draft capital allocation and team needs at linebacker—whether multiple teams prioritize the position early enough to affect second linebacker selection order
- Performance of competing linebacker prospects at NFL Combine drills and bowl games before the draft
- Mock draft consensus patterns from major scouting services tracking how the second linebacker slot typically fills
- Any injuries or off-field developments affecting Styles' draft grade or the evaluation of competing linebacker candidates

Contracts:
- Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Sonny Styles — 16¢ Kalshi $37 (weight 100%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-25T19:20:50.528Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftlb
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Sonny%20Styles%20be%20the%202nd%20Linebacker%20drafted
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev