16% — Will Sonny Styles be drafted before Jeremiyah Love
Polymarket 25% · Kalshi 20% · 18 contracts · $658K volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:27:43 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 5pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 30¢ Polymarket $157K (weight 9%)
- Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?: Before May 15, 2026 — 4¢ Kalshi $82K (weight 8%)
- Will Elon Musk win Musk v. Altman et al?: Before 2027 — 34¢ Kalshi $80K (weight 8%)
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? — 19¢ Polymarket $61K (weight 8%)
- Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026?: Before Jun 1, 2026 — 18¢ Kalshi $49K (weight 8%)
- Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?: Before Jan 4, 2027 — 9¢ Kalshi $47K (weight 8%)
- Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before June — 10¢ Kalshi $44K (weight 8%)
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: Before 2027 — 21¢ Kalshi $42K (weight 8%)
- ... and 10 more

Cite as: "16% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftmatchup
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Sonny%20Styles%20be%20drafted%20before%20Jeremiyah%20Love
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev