26% — Will Sonny Styles be drafted before Jeremiyah Love Kalshi 26% · 8 contracts · $133K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-26 21:06:08 UTC Why this matters: This market reflects the 26% probability that Sonny Styles will be selected in the NFL Draft before Jeremiyah Love is selected. Both players are collegiate prospects competing for draft positioning, and their relative draft order depends on evaluations by NFL teams, combine performance, medical clearances, and final pre-draft assessments. The current probability suggests market participants view Love as more likely to be drafted first. The main factors driving this level are their respective college production, physical attributes, and team needs as communicated through mock drafts and official draft order. The uncertainty resolves during the 2026 NFL Draft when both players' selections occur or don't occur, eliminating guesswork with certainty. Shifts in this probability would reflect significant changes in evaluations, injuries, or explicit draft signals from NFL franchises. Key factors: - Comparative college production statistics and on-field performance metrics between the two prospects - Physical measurements and combine test results once available, which directly influence draft rankings - Injury reports or medical evaluations that could affect either player's draft status or timeline - Mock draft trends from major outlets and analyst consensus, which aggregate professional evaluation - Explicit draft signals from NFL teams with high selections, including interviews, pre-draft visits, and positional needs Contracts: - Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?: Before Jan 4, 2027 — 9¢ Kalshi $75K (weight 56%) - Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: Before 2027 — 10¢ Kalshi $58K (weight 44%) - Will Sonny Styles win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Sonny Styles — 16¢ Kalshi $18 (weight 0%) - Will Harry Styles and Zoe Kravitz be married Before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — 28¢ Kalshi $14 (weight 0%) - Will Harry Styles and Zoe Kravitz be married Before Jul 1, 2027?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — 38¢ Kalshi $11 (weight 0%) - Will Harry Styles and Zoe Kravitz be married Before Jan 1, 2028?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — 47¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Harry Styles be on Jimmy Kimmel Live! before 2027?: Harry Styles — 25¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Harry Styles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Harry Styles — 34¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-26T20:20:48.862Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "26% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftmatchup Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Sonny%20Styles%20be%20drafted%20before%20Jeremiyah%20Love Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev