18% — Will Spencer Fano be drafted before pick 10.5 in 2026
Polymarket 25% · Kalshi 19% · 18 contracts · $810K volume · high confidence
Updated 2026-05-03 17:27:46 UTC

Cross-venue gap: 6pp (Polymarket higher)

Contracts:
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 30¢ Polymarket $157K (weight 8%)
- Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?: Spencer Pratt — 25¢ Kalshi $151K (weight 8%)
- Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 15, 2026?: Before May 15, 2026 — 4¢ Kalshi $82K (weight 7%)
- Will Elon Musk win Musk v. Altman et al?: Before 2027 — 34¢ Kalshi $80K (weight 7%)
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? — 19¢ Polymarket $61K (weight 7%)
- Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before June 1, 2026?: Before Jun 1, 2026 — 18¢ Kalshi $49K (weight 7%)
- Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?: Before Jan 4, 2027 — 9¢ Kalshi $47K (weight 7%)
- Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?: Before June — 10¢ Kalshi $44K (weight 7%)
- ... and 10 more

Cite as: "18% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftou
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Spencer%20Fano%20be%20drafted%20before%20pick%2010.5%20in%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev