22% — Will Omar Cooper Jr. be the 3rd Wide Receiver drafted Kalshi 22% · 9 contracts · $7K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-09-26 13:54:45 UTC Why this matters: This market predicts whether Omar Cooper Jr. will be selected as the third wide receiver in the 2026 NFL Draft. At 24%, the probability reflects moderate uncertainty about his draft positioning relative to other receiver prospects. Cooper's draft position depends primarily on how he's ranked against competing receivers by NFL teams—factors like his performance metrics, physical attributes, and draft needs at each pick will determine his actual selection order. The resolution will be settled when the 2026 NFL Draft concludes and the third wide receiver is officially selected. Prior draft history shows receiver rankings often shift during the pre-draft evaluation period as teams finalize their boards. Key factors: - Cooper's current athletic testing results and performance metrics compared to other elite receiver prospects in the 2026 class - The number and draft position of wide receivers selected before Cooper—determining if exactly two receivers go before him - Trading activity and team needs in the first rounds, as teams may trade up or down affecting receiver selection order - Pre-draft ranking consensus from major scouting services and mock drafts as the April 2026 draft approaches - Injury status or other developments affecting Cooper or competing receivers during the final pre-draft evaluation window Contracts: - Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina?: Roy Cooper — 94¢ Kalshi $5K (weight 71%) - Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Rueben Bain Jr. — 4¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 14%) - Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?: Will Anderson Jr. — 15¢ Kalshi $829 (weight 11%) - Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Donald J. Trump Jr. — 3¢ Kalshi $252 (weight 3%) - Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: Renan Santos — 42¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trump Jr. — 25¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?: any 3rd Amendment case — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 1 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-09-26T13:20:48.916Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "22% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftwr Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Omar%20Cooper%20Jr.%20be%20the%203rd%20Wide%20Receiver%20drafted Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev