25% — Will Omar Cooper Jr. be the 3rd Wide Receiver drafted Kalshi 25% · 10 contracts · $3K volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-24 15:18:09 UTC Why this matters: This market reflects the probability that Omar Cooper Jr. will be selected as the third wide receiver in the 2026 NFL Draft. At 29%, the market suggests he faces meaningful competition from other receiver prospects but remains a realistic candidate for early selection at the position. The probability is primarily driven by evaluations of Cooper's performance metrics, athletic testing results, and how scouts rate him relative to other receivers in the class. The market will move significantly based on NFL Draft Day outcomes and pre-draft evaluation reports from major organizations. The resolution occurs during the 2026 NFL Draft, where the exact order of receiver selections will determine the outcome. Market movement typically reflects updated draft order projections, medical evaluations of competing prospects, and any performance data from pre-draft workouts and measurements. Key factors: - Cooper's combine performance metrics and athletic testing results relative to other top receiver prospects - Teams' explicit draft board rankings and publicly stated receiver needs in their 2026 draft classes - Medical evaluation outcomes and injury history of competing receiver prospects - Draft order positioning and whether teams with top selections prioritize receiver positions - Pre-draft evaluation reports from major mock drafts and professional scouting services Contracts: - Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina?: Roy Cooper — 86¢ Kalshi $1K (weight 40%) - Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Donald J. Trump Jr. — 4¢ Kalshi $962 (weight 30%) - Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?: Rueben Bain Jr. — 19¢ Kalshi $461 (weight 15%) - Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: Renan Santos — 5¢ Kalshi $443 (weight 14%) - Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?: Will Anderson Jr. — 11¢ Kalshi $31 (weight 1%) - What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?: any 3rd Amendment case — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public before Jan 1, 2027?: Yes — 24¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trump Jr. — 21¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 2 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-24T14:20:50.305Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "25% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/nfldraftwr Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Omar%20Cooper%20Jr.%20be%20the%203rd%20Wide%20Receiver%20drafted Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev